Wednesday, June 27, 2012

sun - shower risk... (am.27.jun.12)>

Another beautiful morning is shaping up, with sunshine and just a few small patches of clouds.  Temperatures are quite pleasant -- I recorded an overnight low of 68.5F (20.3C) -- and there has been no additional rainfall since the 0.21" (5mm) we received mid-day yesterday.

It looks like we're going to remain in this "mixed bag" weather pattern for the next several days.  Although pockets of pre-monsoon moisture continue to sprawl along the front ranges of the mountains from western Nepal, northwestward into Himachal, the flow in the middle and upper-levels of the atmosphere remains from the west-northwest.  This set-up will prevent genuine monsoon conditions from making any headway into the northwest third of India, but will keep us flirting with scattered thundershowers from time to time, which could be capable of dumping some moderate to heavy rainfall during a brief period.  As I mentioned last evening, it is an "in-between" situation -- we've left the very warm and bone-dry days of summer behind, but have a ways to go before we reach the 80-100% saturation, fog, and consistent heavy rains of the monsoon season.

Actually, if anything, we may see a reversion to more summer-like conditions over the weekend, as temperatures rise well above normal, and pre-monsoon moisture retreats a bit.  Stay tuned as we continue to muddle our way through this drawn out season of transition...

WEDNESDAY:
a mix of sunshine and periods of cloudiness.  good chance of some thundershowers in the area.
high: 27C (80F)

WEDNESDAY NIGHT:
a couple of thundershowers in the area, otherwise partly cloudy.
low: 20C (68F)

THURSDAY:
sunny to partly cloudy.  a thundershower possible, mainly PM.
high: 27C (81F)

FRIDAY:
sunshine and a few clouds.  a PM thundershower possible.
morning low: 21C (70F)
daytime high: 28C (83F)

SATURDAY:
unseasonably warm, with hazy sunshine and a few clouds.  an isolated PM thundershower?
morning low: 22C (72F)
daytime high: 29C (84F)

SUNDAY (1ST OF JULY):
a mix of hazy sun and occasional clouds.  abnormally warm!
morning low: 23C (73F)
daytime high: 29C (85F)