Friday, June 1, 2012

limited relief... (pm.01.jun.12)>

There are only a few clouds around, otherwise our sky is mostly clear during this hour before sunset.  Although we had more off-and-on cloudiness today than yesterday, temperatures were nearly as warm.  I recorded a high temp of 91.6F (33.1C), which is the third day in a row above 90F, and the second-highest temp of the year, behind yesterday's high of 93.4F (34.1C).  Records continue to be challenged all across north India in the midst of this memorable heatwave.

So far, our series of weak upper-level disturbances has been a disappointment.  Other than a period of thunder and gusty winds late last night, there has been very little thundershower development in response to the slightly cooler air arriving in the upper atmosphere.  We could still see some pockets of instability over the weekend which may ignite a shower or thunderstorm... but I remain skeptical of our prospects of getting blessed with any significant rainfall.  But with the teachings at TCV, and the football matches in progress this weekend, the situation bears watching.

Our overall pattern will change very little into the middle of next week, with a quiet flow aloft, and peak summer heat remaining entrenched in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  Wednesday looks to be the earliest that we may see much of a break in the heat -- along with a slightly better chance of some much-needed rain.

FRIDAY NIGHT:
 clear to partly cloudy and warm.  an isolated thundershower overnight?
low: 24C (76F)

SATURDAY:
sunny to partly cloudy.  very warm, with a risk of a thundershower.
high: 32C (90F)

SATURDAY NIGHT:
an isolated thundershower possible, otherwise clear to partly cloudy.
low: 23C (74F)

SUNDAY:
sunshine and a few clouds.  isolated PM thunder?
high: 32C (89F)

MONDAY:
sunny to partly cloudy.  warmth persists.
morning low: 23C (74F)
daytime high: 32C (89F)

TUESDAY:
a mix of sun and some clouds.
morning low: 23C (74F)
daytime high: 31C (88F)

WEDNESDAY:
partly cloudy and not quite as warm.  better chance of a shower or thunderstorm.
morning low: 23C (73F)
daytime high: 30C(86F)