We have a mostly cloudy sky this morning at sunrise, after some periods of sprinkles and gusty winds overnight. I've recorded an overnight low of 59.0F (15.0C), with only a trace of rainfall. Humidity remains low... at 33%.
Today's forecast is a difficult one. There is a string of relatively weak and disorganized upper-level disturbances traipsing through the western Himalayas right now, which will continue perhaps into Wednesday. As was the case this time last week, there is a decent amount of dynamic energy in the atmosphere, but at least right now, moisture is very limited. One of the computer models stands out from the others, trying to give us a significant amount of rainfall, especially during the next 24 hours or so. The other models are all keeping 95% of the shower and thunderstorm action to our north and east in the mountains... meaning we would miss out on the rain almost altogether. I'm still inclined to think we will catch some of the action, but skeptical of the amounts (now 2-4cm / 0.8-1.6") being advertised by the one aggressive model. It will be a good day to be aware of what's going on, and prepared to dodge a sudden shower or storm.
A mentionable chance of another period or two of thundershowers remains until Wednesday... then it appears that things will clear out for the latter part of the week. Temperatures will be slightly cooler during the next 2-3 days, but should rapidly rebound to near the warmest of the spring season by Friday. All in all, March is winding down according to character...
Today's forecast is a difficult one. There is a string of relatively weak and disorganized upper-level disturbances traipsing through the western Himalayas right now, which will continue perhaps into Wednesday. As was the case this time last week, there is a decent amount of dynamic energy in the atmosphere, but at least right now, moisture is very limited. One of the computer models stands out from the others, trying to give us a significant amount of rainfall, especially during the next 24 hours or so. The other models are all keeping 95% of the shower and thunderstorm action to our north and east in the mountains... meaning we would miss out on the rain almost altogether. I'm still inclined to think we will catch some of the action, but skeptical of the amounts (now 2-4cm / 0.8-1.6") being advertised by the one aggressive model. It will be a good day to be aware of what's going on, and prepared to dodge a sudden shower or storm.
A mentionable chance of another period or two of thundershowers remains until Wednesday... then it appears that things will clear out for the latter part of the week. Temperatures will be slightly cooler during the next 2-3 days, but should rapidly rebound to near the warmest of the spring season by Friday. All in all, March is winding down according to character...
MONDAY:
partly to mostly cloudy with gusty winds at times. good chance of a period or two of showers and/or thunderstorms. not as warm.
high: 20C (68F)
MONDAY NIGHT:
some showers and thunderstorms around the area... otherwise partly cloudy. cooler.
low: 13C (55F)
TUESDAY:
a mix of clouds and sun, with a chance of a thundershower.
high: 19C (67F)
WEDNESDAY:
both sun and some clouds... an isolated thundershower possible.
morning low: 13C (55F)
daytime high: 20C (68F)
THURSDAY:
mostly sunny... warming up again.
morning low: 14C (57F)
daytime high: 22C (71F)
FRIDAY:
sunshine and a few clouds. nice and warm.
morning low: 15C (59F)
daytime high: 23C (73F)
