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Saturday, February 5, 2011

thundery preview... (am.5.feb.11)>

starting around 4am, we got a little preview of what's to come during the next 3-4 days.  we've had some thundershowers in the area... but i have less than 1mm (.03") in the rain gauge to show for it, so far.  this morning's temp is hovering right around 53F (11.5C)... skies are cloudy.

our early morning thunder was associated with the first little wave of energy being spun out of the developing storm system to our west.  the main energy with this system is going to hold back for another couple of days... that's why we are in for a prolonged period of unsettled weather.  i'm expecting just scattered/occasional periods of showers today and tonight... but then steadier and heavier precipitation should get cranked up tomorrow... and last into tuesday.  at this point, i think we will see significant, maybe even heavy rainfall before all is said and done... with several feet (1-2m) of snow likely higher up the mountain, mainly above 2500m.  this is NOT a good time to be venturing up to higher elevations or trying to cross passes... either on foot or by road.

it remains to be seen whether it will get cold enough here in mcleod ganj for snow... but i'd say there is at least a 50/50 chance that we could have snow and sleet mixed with the rain by monday and tuesday.  i'll do my best to keep you updated...

SATURDAY: mostly cloudy, with perhaps a couple of sunny breaks.  good chance of a few showers and thundershowers in the area.
high: 14C (58F)

SATURDAY NIGHT: mostly cloudy with a good chance of occasional showers and thundershowers.
low: 9C (48F)

SUNDAY: cloudy skies with periods of rain and thunderstorms likely.  colder... with temperatures steady or falling...
high: 9C (49F)

MONDAY: cloudy and colder with rain and thunder.  rain could possibly become mixed with sleet and snow.
high: 7C (44F)

TUESDAY: thunder, rain, sleet and snow... cold!
high: 6C (43F)

WEDNESDAY: still a few rain and snow showers around... but skies should start to clear a bit.
high: 9C (48F)