Saturday, February 16, 2013

wet and/or white... (pm.16.feb.13)>

*Update @ 8:26pm... We've got a break in the action at the moment.  Only a few sprinkles of rain here at my location in the upper part of town, with a temp of 40.8F (4.9C).  Rainfall has already exceeded expectations, but now we get to wait and see if any snow makes it far enough downhill before this storm system makes its exit.

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Saturday's stats:

Low temp: 40.1F (4.5C) -- at 5:55pm
High temp: 45.0F (7.2C)
Rainfall since 7am: 1.07" (2.7cm) -- as of 7:25pm

Storm total rainfall: 1.30" (3.3cm) -- as of 7:25pm

The past 8 hours or so have featured the overwhelming majority of rainfall from this storm system, which began to affect us late Friday morning.  It is cloudy at sunset this evening, with occasional light to moderate rain showers, while the snow line has dropped slightly -- to roughly the 2100m/6900ft level.

No two storms are alike, and this one has definitely been unique... over-performing as far as rainfall is concerned, but under-performing (so far) in terms of delivering the colder air in the mid-levels of the atmosphere necessary for a change-over from rain to snow at our elevation.  There is still time for that situation to change, however, as the center of circulation moves from just northeast of Jaipur this evening to east of Delhi tomorrow (Sun) morning, and then to the extreme southwestern border of Nepal by tomorrow evening.  Colder air will continue to filter in as this system shifts eastward, with the atmosphere still looking favorable for some snow at our elevation before it's all over.  Watching that snow line is always a nail-biter!

On a related note... anticipated improvements on Sunday may not happen as quickly as we might like, with a good chance of some rain and/or or snow showers all the way until the late afternoon or early evening.  We'll have to wait for Monday for a decent rebound in temperatures, but even then, the weather pattern next week is going to keep us from rising to late February norms.

I'll do my best to keep you apprised of the latest rainfall totals and potential appearance of snow during the coming 24 hours...

SATURDAY NIGHT:
periods of rain, possibly mixing with/changing to snow overnight.  colder.
low: 2C (35F)

SUNDAY:
a few periods of snow, sleet, rain, or a mixture.  some clearing late?  unseasonably cold.
high: 7C (44F)

SUNDAY NIGHT:
an evening snow/rain shower possible, otherwise partly cloudy.
low: 3C (38F)

MONDAY:
sun and a few clouds.  milder, but still chilly for the season.
high: 11C (52F)

TUESDAY:
a mix of clouds and sun.
morning low: 7C (44F)
daytime high: 12C (54F)

WEDNESDAY:
sun and occasional clouds.
morning low: 7C (45F)
daytime high: 13C (55F)

THURSDAY:
a mix of sun and clouds.  temps still struggling back toward normal for the season.
morning low: 7C (45F)
daytime high: 13C (56F)