Sunday, February 3, 2013

here we go... (am.03.feb.13)>

Update @ 4:05pm... Clouds have been steadily thickening all day as a deep area of low pressure continues to develop over Afghanistan.  The counter-clockwise circulation in the mid- and upper atmosphere is drawing lots of moisture northeastward from the Arabian Sea -- setting the stage for precipitation development tonight.  Current temp: 52.2F (11.2C).  Humidity: 75%.

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We've got a mix of sunshine, haze, and some very thin high clouds early this Sunday morning.  I've recorded an overnight low of 45.0F (7.2C), and the humidity reading is currently 58%.

I've been flipping through the piles of new data constantly coming in, as we watch our next storm system come together.  It is still in the very early stages of development -- the upper-level circulation itself has not even fully formed -- so it's most likely going to be at least this evening before we get our first rain showers.

Otherwise, it looks like we are still on track to receive a lot of rain before late Wednesday.  As I compare and contrast the various computer models, I'm still seeing an average of about 15cm (6") of rain for our immediate area, with the majority of that expected between Monday night and very early Wednesday morning.

Very heavy snowfall will occur in the mountains just above town, which is fantastic news for our water supply during the coming months.  Some of the latest data is making me concerned about accumulating snowfall getting precariously close to McLeod as early as Tuesday night.  But we'll just have to watch the evolution of this storm system, one step at a time.

Make preparations for deteriorating weather conditions by tonight.  Updates to follow...