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Friday, February 15, 2013

cold and soggy... (pm.15.feb.13)>

*Update @ 9:21pm... It has been raining a bit harder in the past half hour or so.  I now have 0.20" (5mm) in my rain gauge, which is still a very meager amount compared to our previous storm.  The temp has dropped to 41.9F (5.5C).  Satellite pics look interesting... so let's see what we can come up with overnight and tomorrow.

*Update @ 8:20pm... Steady light rain is falling, and the winds have been kicking up again during the past 45 minutes.  I have a current temp of 43.0F (6.1C) here in the upper part of town.  Will post an updated rainfall total in an hour or so.

Friday's stats:

Low temp: 41.3F (5.2C) -- 5:50pm
High temp: 51.4F (10.8C) -- 9:15am
Rainfall: 0.12" (3mm) -- as of 7:00pm

We have a snowy scene just up-mountain from us this evening, as very light rain continues here in McLeod.  Today's warmest temperatures occurred during the morning, and have been on a slide ever since.

The center of a strong upper-level storm system is settling into extreme southern Pakistan this evening, and is expected to start making a turn to the east-northeast in a few hours, winding up in southwest Rajasthan by tomorrow (Sat) morning, and then just east of Delhi on Sunday morning.  Upper-level energy, a moderate supply of moisture, and a batch of colder air are all converging on northern India right now -- and believe it or not, the array of computer models are STILL disagreeing on how this is all going to play out.

Thus far, precipitation has been scattered across a wide area, but there has been nothing particularly heavy or well-organized.  As that upper-level energy moves closer tonight and Saturday we may see an increase in the intensity of rain and snow across our immediate area -or- this system could continue to languish in a disorganized state.  I'm thinking a forecast of total rain and melted snow of 1-3cm (0.40"-1.20") is still a good bet, though computer model data is skewing both higher and lower than that amount.

The snow line has made it down to near Magic View Cafe as of early this evening, and should drop lower during the next 24 hours as colder air continues to flow in.  Unless we never get much precipitation cranking up, there should be a very good chance of some snow making it as far downhill as McLeod.  Stay tuned for updates as things continue to evolve.

Lingering snow showers will be possible on Sunday, with a very chilly air mass overhead, but then it looks like we'll get some improvements underway during the first part of next week -- though temps will remain cooler than normal.

occasional rain showers, possibly mixing with or changing to snow overnight.  colder.
low: 2C (35F)

mostly cloudy and cold with periods of rain and/or snow.
high: 7C (44F)

periods of snow, sleet or rain.  some thunder possible as well.
low: 1C (34F)

some lingering snow/rain showers, but some sunshine appearing.  unseasonably cold.
high:8C (46F)

sunshine and a few clouds.  milder, but still cooler than normal.
morning low: 4C (40F)
daytime high: 11C (52F)

a mix of sun and clouds.
morning low: 7C (44F)
daytime high: 12C (54F)

partly cloudy to mostly cloudy at times.  temps still cooler than normal.
morning low: 7C (45F)
daytime high: 13C (55F)