Saturday, February 16, 2013

february gloom... (am.16.feb.13)>

*Update @ 3:55pm... Moderate rain in progress at the moment.  Rainfall has been mostly light this afternoon, but there have been a few short periods of more moderate intensity.  Satellite pics show the counter-clockwise circulation around the storm center (near Jaipur) continuing to send bands of precipitation in our direction.  Total rainfall now: 0.94" (2.4cm).  Current temp: 41.2F (5.1C).  Anxious to see what might happen with the rain/snow line this evening.

*Update @ 2:23pm... Total rainfall has now reached 0.80" (2.0cm).  If you remember, there was all kinds of inconsistency and disagreement among the computer models during the developing phases of this storm system the last several days -- but it is starting to look like the one model projecting larger precipitation amounts may end up being correct.  I think we could more than double our rainfall total from this point forward.  Current temp: 41.5F (5.3C).

*Update @ 12:56pm... Steady light rain continues.  The total rainfall since yesterday is now up to 0.71" (1.8cm) at my location -- and I have a current temp of 42.1F (5.6C).  This storm system has now reached full maturity, with a circulation center just southwest of Jaipur, moving slowly east-northeastward.  From the satellite vantage point, it doesn't look like we stand a chance of getting any sort of break in the clouds today at all -- with periods of rain continuing.  No movement on that snow line, but this evening is when things could swiftly change.

In a classic bone-headed maneuver, I let my internet balance expire -- just now recharged, up and running.  Sorry if you've been waiting around for an update!

Although it was fairly quiet overnight, the rain has picked up in earnest since around 8:00am -- I had a total of 0.40" (1.0cm) in my gauge as of 10:00am, which doubled our amount since last evening.  The temp at my place on Tushita Road just below the Mountaineering Center has been hovering around 41F (5C) all morning.

The center of our upper-level storm system is over central Rajasthan at mid-morning, and is still expected to be in the vicinity of Delhi by this evening.  This circulation pattern should keep us in a favorable position for more clouds and rain through tonight -- and we'll still have to watch the gradually seeping colder air for potential snow in McLeod Ganj.  So far, the snow line remains above both Dharamkot and Naddi, but of course lots of people will be keeping a very close eye on that between now and tomorrow morning (Sun).

Stay tuned for the latest info/developments...