the latest...

TOTAL RAINFALL yesterday afternoon/evening = 0.41" (1.0cm)

Wednesday, February 27, 2013

thundershower risk... (pm.27.feb.13)>

Update @ 8:21pm... We're still in a precarious position, with the final shot of upper-level energy/circulation moving across Kashmir and northern HP tonight.  There have been a few thundershowers to our west-northwest since sunset, and it's still mostly cloudy, breezy and unsettled.  Current temp: 46.9F (8.3C), with 70% humidity.

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Wednesday's stats:

Low temp: 41.5F (5.3C) -- around 7:20am
High temp: 56.5F (13.6C) -- shortly past midnight
Rainfall: 0.80" (2.0cm)

It's partly cloudy, calm and relatively pleasant as we approach sunset this evening -- a far cry from what was happening earlier today.  Wind gusts this morning (especially before 8am or so) were among the strongest I can remember around here, and a few periods of thundershowers kept us in and out of the rain until the early afternoon.  The mildest temps of the day occurred during the wee hours while most of us were sleeping, while the coldest temperatures happened during rainy periods between about 6am and 1230pm.

There are still some question marks overnight.  Our storm system's circulation center is located over northern Pakistan, due west of Srinagar, and will continue to gradually weaken as it begins to shift eastward through J&K during the next 12 to 18 hours.  There is fresh thundershower development over parts of northern Pak and Kashmir this evening, indicating a still unstable atmosphere over the western Himalayan region.  We'll have to watch during the next few hours to see if things stabilize after sunset, or if there could be another round of thundershowers threatening overnight.  Even on Thursday, despite much-improved conditions, an isolated shower or thundershower is not impossible.

It still looks like we're in line for some really good stuff as March arrives.  Significant warming is expected throughout all layers of the atmosphere between Friday and Monday, while drier air takes hold across northern India.  Unless unforeseen mountain micro-climate factors spoil things for us here along the front slopes of the Dhauladhars, we should be reveling in genuine springtime comfort in a matter of just a few days...

WEDNESDAY NIGHT:
partly cloudy with a continuing chance of a round of thundershowers moving through.
low: 7C (44F)

THURSDAY:
an isolated shower or thundershower?  otherwise a mix of sun and some clouds.  milder temps.
high: 14C (58F)

THURSDAY NIGHT:
mostly clear skies.
low: 9C (48F)

FRIDAY (1ST OF MARCH):
sunshine and a few clouds.  warming trend.
high: 16C (61F)

SATURDAY:
mostly sunny with pleasant temps.
morning low: 9C (49F)
daytime high: 17C (63F)

SUNDAY:
sunny to partly cloudy and seasonably mild.
morning low: 11C (51F)
daytime high: 18C (64F)

MONDAY:
sunshine and occasional clouds.  warmest temps of the year.
morning low: 11C (52F)
daytime high: 18C (65F)