Sunday, July 29, 2012

thick-rich-juicy... (am.29.jul.12)>

Clouds and fog are the dominant features across our area early this Sunday morning.  There have been off-and-on showers, along with some rumbles of thunder overnight, and I have a fresh 0.40" (1.0cm) in my rain gauge since midnight.  The running total/averages can be found on the JULY RAINFALL tab (above).  Temperatures have moved very little in the past 24 hours... my low temp here in the upper part of town has been 68.2F (20.1C).

Very thick, rich and juicy tropical moisture is now firmly in control once again across Himachal Pradesh and most of the rest of northern India.  A southerly flow is pumping more and more moisture into the area, which has been squeezed out in the form of occasional rain showers.  I'm waiting for the next period of truly heavy rainfall to manifest... with this air mass in place, it won't take too much instability to generate some downpours worthy of dumping more than an inch of rain in a short period of time.  The risk of that happening will be increasing today through Tuesday.  In fact, we could be candidates for picking up 2-3" (5-8cm), or more, in a 24 hour period.  Be prepared.

Computer model data indicates that these healthy monsoon conditions should remain with us all the way through this new week.  There will likely be some brief periods of sunshine and humidity backing down from the 95-100% range from time to time, but those little respites should be relatively short-lived.

SUNDAY:
clouds, fog, and perhaps a glimpse or two of sun.  occasional rain and some thunder likely.
high: 22C (72F)

SUNDAY NIGHT:
clouds and fog, with periods of rain and thunder likely.
low: 19C (67F)

MONDAY:
mostly cloudy and foggy.  periods of rain and some thunder.
high: 22C (72F)

TUESDAY:
mostly cloudy skies... periods of fog, rain and some thunder.
morning low: 19C (66F)
daytime high: 22C (72F)

WEDNESDAY:
perhaps some sun at times... otherwise mostly cloudy and foggy.  a few showers and thundershowers in the area.
morning low: 19C (66F)
daytime high: 23C (74F)

THURSDAY:
clouds, fog, and a peek or two of sun.  more rain and thunder likely.
morning low: 19C (67F)
daytime high: 22C (72F)