Thursday, May 14, 2015

sun-cloud-shower mix... (am.14.may.15)>

It's pleasantly mild early this Thursday morning, with both patches of blue sky and patches of mid-level clouds.  Currently, it's 61.3F (16.3C) here at my location on Tushita Road below the mountaineering center -- but I'm showing an overnight low of 59.2F (15.1C).  There may have been a couple of sprinkles of rain at some point overnight, but I have no additional measurable precipitation in the gauge to report.

This morning's satellite pics show the center of our upper-level circulation parked right along the west-central Kashmir border of Pakistan.  It's now very weak, but still contains some pockets of relatively colder air aloft, and enough dynamic energy to act upon the lingering moisture across our area once we get some daytime heating kicking in.  That means there is still a good chance of some isolated to widely scattered shower/thunder activity today -- though we'll see some sunshine and plenty of hours of dry weather as well.  An isolated mainly afternoon thundershower is not out of the question on Friday, either.

Major warming from the surface into the upper-levels of the atmosphere will set in over the weekend, as a new bubble of high pressure noses in from the southwest.  That should provide us with a generally stable air mass for a few days, while allowing temperatures to head back up to the warmest levels of the season and the year.  We could be heading above 86ºF/30ºC again by Sunday.  However, another chance of some thunderstorm action enters the picture by either late Monday or Tuesday.

Check out THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK for specifics...