Thursday, May 3, 2012

great leaps... (pm.03.may.12)>

Thundershowers are lurking in the mountains just above us this evening, but up to now, there have only been a couple of rumbles of thunder here in town... starting as early as about 3:15pm.  Otherwise, the sunshine hung on long enough and strong enough to boost my high temp to 80.4F (26.9C)... which matches the warmest temperature of the season back on the 20th of April.  I was very surprised with such a rapid warm-up this soon.

As we were anticipating... the mountain micro-climate machine did indeed switch on this afternoon, and it will be interesting to see if a thundershower drifts down into McLeod Ganj as the evening wears on.  But even so, all of the activity should diminish rapidly after dark.  Our general pattern will continue to transition into a much more early summer-like scenario during the coming several days.  Warmer air is surging northward not only at the surface, but in the mid- and upper-levels of the atmosphere as well, so we should continue to see temperatures on the rise right into early next week.  The warmest weather of this season is definitely in our near future.

Shower and thunderstorm potential remains a frustrating thing to keep on top of.  Although we have no major storm systems or significant upper-level disturbances in the forecast, the interaction between warmer air flowing in, and pockets of much colder air hanging over the mountains will keep us a little bit on pins and needles in terms of afternoon and evening thunder potential.  Just be aware and prepared, should you be planning an excursion upward...

THURSDAY NIGHT:
mountain thundershowers dying quickly... then clearing skies.
low: 17C (62F)

FRIDAY:
sunny to partly cloudy and warm.  some PM mountain thunder?
high: 27C (80F)

FRIDAY NIGHT:
an evening thundershower in the area?  otherwise clear to partly cloudy.
low: 17C (63F)

SATURDAY:
sunshine and occasional clouds.  warming trend continues...
high: 28C (82F)

SUNDAY:
a mix of sun and clouds.  a thunderstorm possible by evening.
morning low: 18C (65F)
daytime high: 28C (83F)

MONDAY:
partly cloudy with a couple of showers and/or thunderstorms possible.
morning low: 18C (65F)
daytime high: 28C (83F)

TUESDAY:
both sun and clouds.  chance of a thunderstorm or two.
morning low: 18C (65F)
daytime high: 28C (83F)