Monday, May 14, 2012

debut of 30C... (pm.14.may.12)>

A May evening for the history books... with mostly sunny skies and pleasantly warm temperatures.  There was the usual build-up of clouds over the mountains at mid-day, but for the second day in a row, we escaped raindrops in McLeod.  I recorded a high temp of 86.0F (30.0C)... the first time we've hit 30C this year... and this is now seven days of the last eight that we've exceeded 80F!  I think it's safe to say that Himalayan summer is now firmly established.

I really hate to keep harping on the potential for a stray shower or thunderstorm, but experience shows that as soon as we get complacent and think we're ineligible... we get hit.  There are still random weak disturbances present in the upper-atmospheric flow (another of which will drift through tomorrow), so there remains that risk of some development at some point during the coming few days.  Otherwise, humidity is low and the strength of the early summer sun is very high... so we'll continue to see more hours of sun than rain.  It's arguably the biggest tourism week of the year in the Dharamsala area, due to the IPL matches on Thursday and Saturday, so hopefully the great weather will hold.

Temps have warmed more aggressively than anticipated the last two days, so we'll continue to expect them to be near the warmest of the year.  Maybe the word HOT is becoming more appropriate for points further downhill...?

MONDAY NIGHT:
clear to partly cloudy and very mild.  just a slight chance of a passing thundershower overnight.
low: 20C (68F)

TUESDAY:
sunny to partly cloudy and warm.  chance of a period of thundershowers.
high: 29C (84F)

TUESDAY NIGHT:
a thundershower in the area during the evening?  otherwise partly cloudy.
low: 20C (68F)

WEDNESDAY:
a mix of sunshine and occasional clouds.  an isolated PM thundershower?
high: 29C (84F)

THURSDAY:
sunny to partly cloudy and warm.  chance of a thunderstorm or two during the PM.
morning low: 21C (69F)
daytime high: 29C (85F)

FRIDAY:
partly to mostly sunny and very warm.  just a slight chance of a PM thunderstorm.
morning low: 21C (69F)
daytime high: 30C (86F)

SATURDAY:
very warm, with sunshine and a few clouds.  still that pesky risk of a passing thunderstorm.
morning low: 21C (70F)
daytime high: 30C (86F)