the latest...

TOTAL RAINFALL yesterday afternoon/evening = 0.41" (1.0cm)

Thursday, April 18, 2013

much drier than normal... (am.18.apr.13)>

*Update @ 3:51pm... Rapid cumulus development has occurred over the Dhauladhars in the past hour or so, and it looks like it could be close to reaching the thundershower stage up there.  Keep in mind the risk of something drifting downhill during rest of the afternoon/early evening!

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We have full sunshine this morning after a calm and peaceful night with a low temp of 58.5F (14.7C).  Humidity stands at 44% to start the day.

April Precipitation so far:

01 - zero
02 - zero
03 - trace
04 - zero
05 - zero
06 - zero
07 - zero
08 - zero
09 - zero
10 - 0.16" (4mm)
11 - 0.02" (less than 1mm)
12 - zero
13 - trace
14 - trace
15 - zero
16 - 0.13" (3mm)
17 - trace

Although we had at least a trace of rain on 7 of the first 17 days of April, my total rainfall for the month thus far is only 0.31" (8mm).  That's only 16% of the normal monthly total of 1.9" (4.9cm) for this second-driest month of the year.  By contrast, I recorded 4.94" (12.5cm) during April 2012, which was much more than double the normal amount.  Of course the reason we rely upon "historical averages" is due to the fact that weather conditions can fluctuate significantly from year to year, and we have to take a step back and put it all into perspective.

Our prospects of picking up significant rainfall still aren't looking all that great during the next several days.  A weak ridge of high pressure will dominate our weather through early Saturday, keeping things generally stable apart from an isolated afternoon mountain thundershower.  It's looking a little more questionable thereafter, as a series of weak upper-level disturbances are expected to move across northern India, increasing our risk of some scattered shower and thundershower action -- but at this point, heavier rain doesn't look likely at all.

Temperatures should be very close to normal for the middle of April, only dipping in the event of a period of showers moving through.  By this time next month we'll be having some uncomfortably "hot" days (by our standards), so this is the time to relish!

Your CURRENT FORECAST is available on the tab above.