Sunday, April 1, 2012

april's arrival... (am.01.apr.12)>

We won't be seeing much of the sun as it rises over the mountains early this morning... due to a fairly thick layer of high clouds across the area.  It is another unseasonably mild morning, however... I've recorded an overnight low temp of 64.8F (18.2C), which is the warmest of the season.  Humidity is a bit higher this morning, at 40%.

Satellite photos indicate that this high cloudiness will give way to some sunshine later this morning into the afternoon, which is going to allow temperatures to really warm up.  It looks probable that this first day of April will be the warmest day of the year thus far... not only here... but across other parts of north India as well.

The big dome of high pressure in the middle and upper-levels of the atmosphere that has been in control during the past few days is going to be breaking down, starting late tonight.  We'll be back in the mode of watching a series of weak disturbances in the atmosphere track from Afghanistan through Pakistan and north India for much of the coming week.  But the emphasis is on WEAK, and since the air mass will remain relatively dry, rain showers will be few and far between.  Right now it looks like Monday and Tuesday hold the best potential of picking up some showers... but I'm really not very enthused about our chances of anything significant.

Despite the change in the upper-air pattern, warm air is going to stay firmly entrenched at the surface... so temperatures should remain a few degrees (or more) above normal right into the latter part of the week.  That means summer heat will continue to build, unhindered, to our south on the plains...

(new podcast posted last night... discussion of march stats.  on the right-hand sidebar>>)

SUNDAY:
a mix of clouds and sunshine.  WARM start to APRIL.
high: 25C (77F)

SUNDAY NIGHT:
chance of a shower or thundershower moving through.  otherwise partly cloudy and mild.
low: 18C (65F)

MONDAY:
partly cloudy and warm.  risk of a shower or thundershower.
high: 25C (77F)

TUESDAY:
one or two thundershowers possible... otherwise partly cloudy.
morning low: 17C (63F)
daytime high: 24C (75F)

WEDNESDAY:
sunshine and a few clouds.
morning low: 17C (62F)
daytime high: 24C (75F)

THURSDAY:
both sunshine and clouds.  still warm.
morning low: 17C (62F)
daytime high: 24C (76F)