Thursday, April 30, 2015

some showers around... (am.30.apr.15)>

Our sky is totally overcast early this morning, and there is a very light rain shower which has just begun.  The rain gauge is showing nothing measurable up til now -- and I'm recording an overnight low temp of 60.1F (15.6C).

A very slow-moving upper-level disturbance is tracking along the northern border of Afghanistan this morning, and will continue to make its way eastward during the next 48 hours or so.  Clouds thickened up overnight, and this morning's satellite view shows several clumps of showers and thundershowers scattered across the western Himalayas.  Although all of the computer model output I'm seeing this morning is keeping precipitation amounts on the light side for us, we'll have to deal with a fairly good chance of at least widely scattered shower and thundershower activity in our vicinity all the way through tomorrow (Fri) evening -- with a chance of an isolated thundershower or two on Saturday as well.  On the other hand, I don't expect the sun to completely disappear, so we should see some bright spots in the midst of it all as well.

A very summery-looking ridge of high pressure is projected to build into northern India starting on Sunday, and right now it looks like it will stick around into the middle of next week.  That should provide us with a relatively stable atmosphere for a few days, along with a significant warming trend.  My high temp for the season thus far has been 80.7F (27.1C) on the 20th of April -- and we may have a shot at going above that by Tuesday or Wednesday.

Check THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK for forecast details.