the latest...

TOTAL RAINFALL yesterday afternoon/evening = 0.41" (1.0cm)

Saturday, April 4, 2015

long road out... (am.04.apr.15)>

For the first time this week, we've had a rain-free night -- at least at my location on Tushita Road below the mountaineering center.  My overnight low has been 50.2F (10.1C).  There is a good amount of high cloudiness across the area early this morning, but only a few patches of lower clouds to the south and east.  It does look like there will be at least some dim sunshine appearing shortly.  

The atmosphere across the entire western Himalayan region is trying to calm down and stabilize, but it still looks like it's not going to be a quick process.  There are still a couple of large pools of unseasonably cold air stuck in the mid- and upper atmosphere which will make our air mass prone to periods of instability all the way through Tuesday.  That means that although we're going to see a better chance of coming up with some periods of sunshine along the way, there is also a pretty good risk of more scattered shower and thundershower development on occasion... especially during the afternoon, evening and perhaps the overnight hours.  It's not a clean bill of health, but overall, the scenario should be trending toward something less miserable than what we've recently been dealing with.

The average high temperature for this stage of April is about 72ºF/22ºC, but it's going to take until Thursday/Friday of next week before we can reach that -- and by that time the average high will have warmed up another couple of degrees, so we're in for a challenging chase.  But the extended range data is showing postive signs in terms of drying out and warming up, so let's hope it materializes...

Get THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK and other info on tabs above.