Saturday, April 18, 2015

feeling good... (am.18.apr.15)>

It's a seasonably mild early morning -- my overnight low temp of 57.6F (14.2C) is very close to average for mid-April.  Apart from a few wisps of high cirrus clouds, our sky is mostly clear as the sun rises.  There has been no rainfall since last report.

Yesterday's big jump in temps put us above 70ºF again, for the first time since last Sunday.  We'll probably warm up even more today, but there could be an issue with increasing high clouds coming in from the west, and also the potential for the build-up of some mountain cumulus during the afternoon.  At any rate, it's looking like a nice and seasonably warm Saturday.

A weak upper-level disturbance will begin to affect us by tomorrow (Sun), however, but there's a good amount of inconsistency between the models as to exactly how much shower and thunderstorm development is going to occur.  Right now I'd say our risk of at least an isolated thundershower or two will increase during the day tomorrow, with then at least a 50/50 shot at a few rounds of showers/thunder between Sunday night and very early Tuesday morning.  There seems to be very little cooling of the air mass occurring in association with this system, so temps should bounce back quickly after any rainy episodes.

The heat is building intensely on the plains of north India now -- so we are the lucky ones, with these pleasantly warm conditions here on the mountain slopes.  Check out the details on THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK above.