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Thursday, April 2, 2015

april woes... (am.02.apr.15)>

A rogue band of thundershowers is just moving off to the east of us this morning at sunrise, leaving us with skies that are trying to clear out a bit.  I was surprised to hear the thunder start up again between 4:00 and 5:00am -- and my rain gauge shows an additional 0.25" (6mm) since about 8:30pm last night.  The temperature this morning is hovering right around 50ºF/10ºC, but I'm recording an overnight low of 47.7ºF/8.7ºC which occurred while it was raining.

Although we're technically 'in between' individual disturbances in this long series, obviously the atmosphere is unstable enough to trigger random thundershowers anyway.  Still, I think we've got a better day on the way today, with perhaps a bit more sunshine than we've seen recently, along with only isolated showers or a thundershower.  Any improvement today will be very short-lived, however, as an even stronger upper-level disturbance/circulation will begin to affect us by tonight, bringing in another likelihood of periods of rain and thunderstorms lasting all the way through tomorrow (Good Friday).  April is certainly not getting off to a pleasant start, is it?

There are fairly consistent indications that we will see some kind of a positive shift in the overall pattern starting Saturday or Easter Sunday.  The risk of some scattered shower/thunder action can't be entirely removed from the forecast, but I think we'll see a trend toward more stabilization of this atmosphere as warmer air begins to slowly filter back in.  Let's keep an eye on how it evolves, but I think our temperatures by the middle of next week could be pushing 70ºF/21ºC once again...

Check forecast details on THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK tab above.