Friday's stats:
Low temp: 47.8F (8.8C)
High temp: 55.9F (13.3C)
Precipitation: none
We have partly cloudy skies just after sunset on this final evening of January 2014. We've ended the month with another in a streak of several very nice, mild, quiet and generally sunny days. There were more thin high clouds in the area today than yesterday, but the sun wasn't hindered all that much -- supporting a high temp which was once again in the well-above-average category. Humidity fluctuated between 35 and 45%.
A transition period will be getting underway as we begin a new month. The upper-level pattern will begin a significant realignment during the next 24 hours or so, which is going to lead to an extended period of much more unsettled weather conditions during the first week to ten days (or more) of February. The main instigator of this change will be a much colder air mass over central Asia which will force the main branch of the jet stream further south, and put us closer to the boundary line between arctic/continental and sub-tropical air masses. Of course along that boundary line we will be susceptible to occasional storm development and perhaps some bouts of significant rain and/or snowfall.
The most imminent threat will be set off by an upper-level wave of energy pivoting from northern Iran to northern Pakistan between tomorrow and Monday. Although I am really concerned about the amount of deep moisture this system will be able to tap into, computer models are forecasting 2-3cm (0.8 - 1.2") of rain and melted snow here along the leading edge of the Dhauladhars. This should occur mainly between late Sunday night and early Tuesday morning. The latest data doesn't put us in as favorable a position to pick up the most significant precipitation, but we'll have to carefully watch how things come together during the next 48 hours or so.
Colder air will settle into northern India early next week... with more potential for periods of rain and snow for several days thereafter.
CURRENT FORECAST info can be found on the tab above.
Low temp: 47.8F (8.8C)
High temp: 55.9F (13.3C)
Precipitation: none
We have partly cloudy skies just after sunset on this final evening of January 2014. We've ended the month with another in a streak of several very nice, mild, quiet and generally sunny days. There were more thin high clouds in the area today than yesterday, but the sun wasn't hindered all that much -- supporting a high temp which was once again in the well-above-average category. Humidity fluctuated between 35 and 45%.
A transition period will be getting underway as we begin a new month. The upper-level pattern will begin a significant realignment during the next 24 hours or so, which is going to lead to an extended period of much more unsettled weather conditions during the first week to ten days (or more) of February. The main instigator of this change will be a much colder air mass over central Asia which will force the main branch of the jet stream further south, and put us closer to the boundary line between arctic/continental and sub-tropical air masses. Of course along that boundary line we will be susceptible to occasional storm development and perhaps some bouts of significant rain and/or snowfall.
The most imminent threat will be set off by an upper-level wave of energy pivoting from northern Iran to northern Pakistan between tomorrow and Monday. Although I am really concerned about the amount of deep moisture this system will be able to tap into, computer models are forecasting 2-3cm (0.8 - 1.2") of rain and melted snow here along the leading edge of the Dhauladhars. This should occur mainly between late Sunday night and early Tuesday morning. The latest data doesn't put us in as favorable a position to pick up the most significant precipitation, but we'll have to carefully watch how things come together during the next 48 hours or so.
Colder air will settle into northern India early next week... with more potential for periods of rain and snow for several days thereafter.
CURRENT FORECAST info can be found on the tab above.
