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Saturday, July 9, 2016

tropical characteristics... (pm.09.jul.16)>

Saturday's stats:

Low temp: 62.8F (17.1C)

High temp: 72.5F (22.5C)
Rainfall: 0.86" (2.2cm)

This evening it is cloudy and very foggy -- almost the same story we've dealt with the previous two evenings at this time.  But the real news is the 1.26" (3.2cm) of rain we've received in the last 24 hours -- 0.40" (1.0cm) just before midnight last night, and then another 0.86" (2.2cm) today.  Most of today's amount occurred in a 20 minute period between about 2:15 and 2:35pm when we were slammed with a very intense downpour.  There have also been some fleeting peeks of sunshine today in between the extended periods of clouds and fog.

My inspiration and motivation continues to lag, as these kinds of slow and sloppy tropical weather patterns are not all that fun or interesting to follow.  That's because very little is happening that the charts, models and data can really latch on to.  The moisture is in place, the upper-level flow is almost dead, and it's micro-scale features much smaller than the resolution of computer model grids that determine whether or not, where and when, areas of rain and thunderstorms will develop.  Random, hit-and-miss development is the name of the game, so it's really just a wait and see forecast scenario.

There have been significant indications of a more large-scale surge of very deep tropical moisture into northwest India again starting Sunday night into Monday, and at least right now, the models show it sticking around through much of the coming week.  This time of year it is not too hard to get in the neighborhood of 7-10" (18-25cm) of rain in just one week's time.  So let's see what the monthly rainfall tally does by next Sunday evening.

Of course you can follow that day-to-day JULY RAINFALL tally on the tab up at the top of the page.