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Thursday, July 7, 2016

moisture-laden air... (pm.07.jul.16)>

Thursday's stats:

Low temp: 64.9F (18.3C)

High temp: 74.8F (23.8C)
Rainfall: trace 

It's cloudy and foggy as dusk sets in this evening, and the sky looks like it could unleash a torrent at any second.  But -- that's kind of the way it's been looking since early afternoon.  There have been some peeks of hazy sunshine in between clouds and fog today, but the sun was much more limited than it was yesterday.  Humidity has been high all day -- in the range of 70 to 90%, but up until this moment, there has been no measurable rainfall to report.

A couple of models are showing very little precipitation development in our area during the next 24-48 hours, but another two models are projecting some scattered heavy rain showers from southwestern Jammu & Kashmir into Himachal Pradesh.  Based on the moisture profiles, and hints of development on the latest satellite pics, I'm inclined to think that there will be some rain showers popping up during the overnight hours.  Whether we get something right on top of us is anybody's guess, but it certainly looks and feels that way this evening.

If we somehow manage to escape a round or two of heavy rain in the next couple of days, models are suggesting a major resurgence of deep tropical moisture sometime on Sunday into Sunday night, and an even more ominous looking scenario by the latter part of next week.  Either way, the monsoon season is here, and high humidity is here to stay, and rain is never too far away...

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