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Thursday, July 14, 2016

saturation all around... (pm.14.jul.16)>

Thursday's stats:

Low temp: 66.6F (19.2C)

High temp: 70.6F (21.4C)
Rainfall: 1.25" (3.2cm) -- total thru midnight

Light rain is falling at the moment, with a few bursts of more moderate intensity showers during the last half hour or so.  It's totally cloudy and foggy as well, as it has been for most of the day.  Although it's been at least drizzling most of the time since around 9:00am, the rainfall total so far hasn't been very big -- but there are still several hours until midnight for us to boost that tally.  Humidity today never dipped below 90%, and spent most of the time at 94% or higher, at my location on Tushita Road below the mountaineering center.

This current active phase of monsoon conditions across Himalayan north India is expected to continue into the weekend, with some very heavy rainfall amounts likely -- from Punjab into Himachal Pradesh, southwestern Jammu & Kashmir, and Uttarakhand -- by the time Sunday night rolls around.  The latest model data is showing some particularly gigantic rainfall projections for points just to our south and west, like more than 7-8" (18-20cm) in a 24 hour period.  As I mentioned a couple of posts back, this is the time when there could be some significant issues with flooding, landslides and road wash-outs across north India, so just be vigilant and careful and well-prepared if you have to travel.

A suggestion of some kind of a brief/temporary retreat of the deepest tropical moisture is showing up in the data by late Monday or Tuesday, but as we head into the latter half of July, a "retreat" is probably not going to last for very long.

Check out tabs above for all kinds of other info, including JULY RAINFALL, the synopsis of this year's monsoon advance, and a review of last year's monsoon daily rainfall...