Monday, March 2, 2015

undeniably cold and damp... (pm.02.mar.15)>

Monday's stats:

Low temp: 40.1F (4.5C)
High temp: 48.9F (9.4C)
Rainfall since 7:00am: 1.23" (3.1cm)
Rainfall since Sunday aftn: 3.23" (8.2cm)

We have thick and heavy clouds blanketing the area as darkness settles in this evening, but the view up toward Triund is absolutely gorgeous with the fresh coating of snow.  It's been a very cold day by early March standards, with nearly continuous rain not only lasting througout the day (until just recently), but with barely even a short break since late yesterday afternoon.  As you can see from the stats above, our rainfall totals are huge -- pretty much exactly in the middle of the projected range.

A fairly intense upper-level low pressure trough continues to hang just to our west-southwest, but will weaken as it wobbles across northern India during the next 24 hours.  The vast majority of the moisture that has been drawn into this system has now shifted off to our east, but I think there's still a good chance that we could see at least some sporadic/scattered rain showers tonight into Tuesday... with a bit of thunder and maybe some small hail and/or sleet remaining within the realm of possibility as well.  But the good news is that we are definitely moving into the latter phases of this storm system.

A few days ago it had looked like we may have to deal with a good amount of lingering rain shower action throughout the rest of this week, but the latest runs of the computer model data are showing a more positive trend.  Although there is a risk of a period of showers Thursday night into Friday, we should see a general turn to milder temperatures, along with some nice periods of sunshine otherwise.  More substantial rain may enter the picture by Sunday and Monday -- but that's far enough away that there's no need for too much worry just yet...

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