Friday, March 27, 2015

peak experience... (pm.27.mar.15)>

Friday's stats:

Low temp: 59.2F (15.1C)
High temp: 75.0F (23.9C)
Rainfall: none

Just when we thought it couldn't get any better, it got better.  Today has been maybe the closest to perfection of any of our super-nice days of the past week or so -- we had nearly full sunshine, with only a few streaks of high clouds at times and minimal afternoon cumulus development over the mountains.  My thermometer on Tushita Road just below the mountaineering center touched 75ºF/23.9ºC which was right on target, and the warmest of the season and the year... just by a hair.  We have scattered high clouds at sunset, otherwise it is mostly clear.

I can look at the admin page on my blog and see that the number of hits/visits has dwindled considerably in the past several days due to this calm and quiet weather -- which makes me concerned that people are going to be unpleasantly surprised by the changes on the way during the coming 48 hours or so.  Over the years I have noticed that people stop paying attention to what's going on after only a few days of nice weather.  Anyway, it looks like we'll be able to squeeze out one more day of this decent sunshine and unseasonably warm weather before it all starts to turn on us.  As long as we don't get too much of an increase in clouds tomorrow (Sat), we should have temps in the same ballpark as the last few days.

The issue is -- our massive ridge of high pressure is going to be replaced by an upper-atmospheric flow embedded with disturbances starting on Sunday.  At the same time, increasing amounts of moisture will be pushing in from the southwest.  This spells a turn to a higher potential of shower and thunderstorm development, along with a significant drop in temperatures.  Sunday is the day that those changes will start to set in, and the data has been consistent in keeping unsettled/unstable conditions across north India all the way through next week and maybe beyond.  It won't rain all day, every day... but the whole scenario is going to be a major downturn compared to what we've recently enjoyed.

I hope you know where to find THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK and other info....