Tuesday, June 9, 2015

a mixed bag... (am.09.jun.15)>

We have a lot of mid-level cloudiness across the area just before sunrise this morning, and it's a very mild 70ºF/21ºC at the moment.  I've recorded an overnight low of 66.7F (19.3C), and there has been no precipitation since last report.

We have a west-northwesterly flow in the mid- and upper-levels of the atmosphere that's bringing in these patches of clouds early this morning -- in association with a little burst of energy/circulation.  There's also a newly-formed cyclone in the northern Arabian Sea that is causing moisture and cloudiness to be shunted northeastward into Rajasthan and Haryana.  All of this means a mix of sunshine and clouds for us today, with that continuing risk of a short-lived period of showers/thunder at some point.  As I mentioned last evening, I'm less and less convinced that we're going to be making it to the 90ºF/32ºC mark this week -- as there's just too much potential for occasional cloudiness and random thundershower activity.  Still, our temperatures between now and the weekend should average out very close to, if not a bit above normal for this stage of June.

Our weather pattern is not a totally quiet one as we look further ahead into the weekend and early next week.  The moisture content of our air mass is increasing, as we would expect during mid-June, and with some minor disturbances drifting through mainly from the northwest, we can't rule out some shower or thunderstorm development on any given day.  All in all, a fairly typical scenario as we get within just two or three weeks of the monsoon's arrival in Himachal Pradesh.

Follow the progress on AWAITING MONSOON 2015 (tab above), and also check out THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK for forecast details.