Wednesday, January 30, 2013

slow changes... (pm.30.jan.13)>

Wednesday's stats:

Early morning low temp: 46.6F (8.1C)
Mid-day high temp: 55.6F (13.1C)
Rainfall: none

There are still a lot of high clouds across the area at sunset this evening, at the end of a day dominated by dim sunshine through a variable layer of mainly high cloudiness.  My pre-dawn low temp up at the top of town was the mildest I've recorded this entire month... but the high clouds kept us from capitalizing on that head-start, though today was still warmer than normal for this time of year.

The satellite view this evening shows a rather messy scenario from central Asia into the western Himalayas.  Although there is no significant storm system to be found, the atmosphere is in a very indecisive phase, with lots of weak disturbances flowing from west to east -- generating a considerable amount of cloudiness.  Moisture is very limited at this stage, however, so very little rain and snow is being produced by those clouds.  We may come up with some random raindrops between now and Sunday, but the the big drama will hold off for several more days.

That approaching drama will be due to a very strong late winter storm system which is expected to develop over Afghanistan and Pakistan by the very end of the weekend.  It is looking more and more likely that we'll be seeing some moderate to heavy precipitation early next week -- mainly from Monday into early Wednesday -- but from this vantage point, it appears that it will remain warm enough for a (mostly) rain event here in McLeod.  Lots and lots of time to monitor developments, so stay in touch...

WEDNESDAY NIGHT:
partly to mostly cloudy and mild.  slight chance of a few sprinkles.
low: 8C (46F)

THURSDAY:
both clouds and some sun at times.  one or two brief, light showers possible.
high: 13C (56F)

THURSDAY NIGHT:
partly cloudy skies.
low: 7C (45F)

FRIDAY:
a mix of sun and mainly high clouds.  mild start to february.
high: 13C (56F)

SATURDAY:
both clouds and sun.  slight chance of a light rain shower.
morning low: 8C (46F)
daytime high: 13C (56F)

SUNDAY:
partly cloudy and mild.  chance of rain showers increasing, especially later in the day.
morning low: 8C (47F)
daytime high: 14C (57F)

MONDAY:
mostly cloudy and not so mild.  good chance of occasional rain and gusty winds.
morning low: 7C (45F)
daytime high: 12C (53F)