Sunday, October 6, 2013

variables in motion... (pm.06.oct.13)>

Sunday's stats:

Low temp: 61.2F (16.2C)
High temp: 68.0F (20.0C)
Rainfall: trace

We have a mostly cloudy sky at sunset this evening, along with some patches of fog drifting in and out.  It did manage to clear out enough just as the sun was sinking in the western sky to provide a beautiful scene for a few minutes.  Our morning sunshine was again restricted to just a few hours, as clouds and fog pretty much took over between 10 and 11am, and held on for most of the remainder of the day.  There may have been some more substantial showers somewhere around the area, but I never saw more than some drizzle and a few sprinkles of rain during the early afternoon hours.

A very strong ridge of high pressure in the upper atmosphere is now building into northwest India, and will dominate the general weather pattern during the next couple of days.  Normally, this would be a sign of a drying and warming trend, but with so much moisture still trapped in the lower levels of the atmosphere, I'm afraid we're going to be contending with more cloud and fog development between the late morning and the evening hours as this new week unfolds.  With unseasonably warm air aloft, the impetus for shower/thundershower development will be diminished somewhat between now and Tuesday -- but there is still a mentionable chance of a couple of isolated/random showers popping up somewhere, so keep that in mind.

Sometime between late Tuesday and Wednesday, there will be another shift in the upper-air pattern which will increase shower and thundershower potential once again, at least for the mid-week period.  Then yet another shift -- to a southwesterly flow this time -- is being projected by computer models as we approach the weekend.  We are being teased with a pretty significant drying trend by Friday into Saturday, but of course we'll have to watch and wait to see if those projections hold.

Check the CURRENT FORECAST tab above for details on what to expect during the coming five days...