Tuesday, October 15, 2013

sunshine tries again... (am.15.oct.13)>

*Update @ 2:35pm...  Well how lovely.  We are getting a little thundershower which has developed right along the front of the mountains during the past 15 minutes or so.  It should be relatively short-lived... but it's irritating nonetheless.

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The sky is absolutely clear at dawn, with a temp of 59.3F (15.2C), and a humidity reading of 75%.  There has been no rainfall overnight, and none in the past 24 hours as well.  In fact, there has only been a trace of rain since Saturday morning.

It will be interesting again today to see what kind of cloud development occurs as the noon hour approaches.  Computer models remain consistent in lowering the moisture content of this air mass steadily, day by day, but it is always a mystery what will happen to any lingering pockets of moisture left here along the front slopes of the mountains, once the morning sunshine has a few hours to work on it.  Humidity has dropped briefly below 50% since Saturday, but has also been bouncing back up around 75-80% at times -- but we should see those numbers drop considerably as we move into the latter part of the week.

A very seasonable west-northwesterly flow continues to become aligned across the western Himalayan region, allowing progressively drier air to take root in our area.  Other than the potential for that mountain cloudiness from mid-day into the late afternoon hours, we should be seeing increasing amounts of sunshine, along with temperatures averaging near or just slightly above normal for this time of year.

The India Met Department is now talking about a major eastward shift of the monsoon withdrawal line in a couple of days -- after it has been stuck just barely to our east for nearly one month.  It looks like all of north and west India could be finally saying goodbye to what has been an incredibly lengthy and exhausting monsoon season.

The CURRENT FORECAST and other weather info can be found on tabs at the top of the page.