the latest...

Check archived posts (right column) and stats (above) for general information.

Wednesday, October 30, 2013

lowest humidity... (am.30.oct.13)>

It has been breezy before sunrise this morning, with clear skies, apart from a few patches of high clouds.  I'm recording a humidity reading of 30% this morning, which is the new low of the season.  The temp is not as cool as the last few mornings, at 56.5F (13.6C), but it almost feels cooler to me, due to the breeze.  There has been no rainfall overnight, none in the past 24 hours, and not a drop here at my location in the last eight days.

It was just this time yesterday morning that I was close to giving up on the idea of ever getting rid of the thick afternoon cloudiness that we've dealt with on the vast majority of days this month.  Then, yesterday turned out to be one of the nicer days of the post-monsoon season, and this morning's humidity is the lowest of the season as well.  The nuances of the atmosphere have been unusual this year, but it seems that things are indeed changing.

The fundamental weather feature right now is a very strong upper-level wind pattern which has set up across the western Himalayas and much of north India.  It seems that it has finally been able to mix up this air mass enough to allow drier air to filter in here along the front slopes of the Dhauladhars.  Embedded in this strong upper flow are a couple of disturbances which will be affecting us between this evening and perhaps early Saturday.  Although moisture is quite limited, computer models are showing some fairly impressive dynamics which could lead to some shower or thundershower development -- mainly between tonight and Friday.  We may not see much rain at all out of this, but keep in mind the risk of a couple of rounds of showers/thunder, along with gusty winds by the time Friday comes to an end -- and stay tuned for updates.

Temperatures are holding near to slightly above average for the end of October, but may slip a couple of degrees below average just after the arrival of November in the wake of these disturbances.

The CURRENT FORECAST and other info can be found on tabs above.