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This blog has been inactive for several months, but you can still check the archived posts (right column) and stats (above) for general info.

Monday, February 2, 2015

just getting started... (pm.02.feb.15)>

Monday's stats:

Low temp: 39.7F (4.3C)
High temp: 49.1F (9.5C)
Precipitation: 0.51" (1.3cm) -- updated @ 9:20pm

It is overcast just after dark this evening, and there are a few sprinkles of rain happening out there.  The majority of our rainfall today occurred between about 8:00am and 2:00pm, but we've still not received a very impressive amount as of yet.  There was even a period during the mid-afternoon when the sun was trying to break through the clouds.

The main impact of our current weather system has yet to arrive, but will do so overnight and during the day tomorrow (Tue).  The upper-level trough of low pressure which is the dynamic center of this storm system is just now starting to push into western Pakistan, and will lift east-northeastward across northern Pakistan and Jammu & Kashmir during the coming 36 hours.  In the southerly flow ahead of it, there is plenty of moisture to be found, and as the upper-level energy moves in during the overnight hours, we should start to see some heavier rain, with totals still projected to surpass 4cm (1.6") across a wide area.  A couple of models continue to forecast significantly more than that -- perhaps 7cm (2.8") of liquid equivalent.

There's not a zero percent chance of snow here in McLeod before this is all over, but temperature profiles are still looking several degrees too warm for frozen forms of precipitation here.  Very heavy snow should be confined to areas above 2200m (7200ft) or so.

We'll be drying out by early Wednesday morning at the latest, with quiet conditions expected to hang around until the latter part of the weekend, when the next rain/snow maker begins to approach.  Check THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK tab above for specs...