Tuesday, July 22, 2014

transition mode... (am.22.jul.14)>

Skies are partly cloudy and hazy early this morning, with a humidity reading of 82%.  The overnight low temperature here in the upper part of town was 66.4F (19.1C), which is the warmest minimum I've recorded in about ten days.  As far as I can tell, there was no rainfall during the night.

We're now into a transitional period which will take us from a weaker phase of monsoon conditions back into a stronger/more active phase.  The thermodynamic energy of the atmosphere is building already, and as more moisture arrives from the south and east throughout all layers of this air mass, we should see a better and better chance of more widespread and long-lasting rains developing in our area.  That could happen as early as mid-day today, or it could hold off until sometime tomorrow (Wed) or tomorrow evening -- computer models are still refusing to agree.  At any rate, we should see deteriorating conditions as we head into the middle of the week.

Although it won't rain continuously, the overall pattern looks like a very wet one all the way into and through the weekend... and even into at least early next week.  It still seems that we won't have too much trouble achieving a July rainfall total that is very close to normal/average -- or even above.

CURRENT FORECAST details for the coming five days are available on the tab above.