Sunday, July 13, 2014

grace period ending... (am.13.jul.14)>

*Update @ 1:48pm... We've had numerous moderate to heavy rain showers with only brief breaks in between since mid-morning.  My rain gauge was nearly overflowing when I just arrived home to check -- 5.25" (13.3cm) since midnight.!!

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It is mostly cloudy and hazy early this morning, though there are a few brighter patches in the overcast.  We've had quite a night in terms of rainfall -- I'm measuring 2.17" (5.5cm) -- most of which occurred during the wee hours of the morning.  I was awake between 2:00 and 3:00am, and it was raining heavily, but with very little thunder.  The low temperature at my place was 66.0F (18.9C), and the humidity is way up at 91%.

What we experienced overnight is a preview of things to come as this new week unfolds.  We're easing into a much more active phase of the monsoon, which is going to feature much higher humidity levels, fog, more pervasive cloudiness, and occasional periods of heavy rainfall.  I've been mentioning the discrepancies between computer models, but last night's heavy rain indicates that one of the more usually reliable models is not on top of developments.  This more moisture-packed air mass is arriving earlier, as projected by a couple of the other models.

Right now it looks like the most saturated conditions with the best chance of very heavy rain will occur between Tuesday and Friday -- but that's a flexible window, as quite honestly we could get a prolonged dumping virtually anytime.  It appears that our recent 'grace period' is rapidly coming to an end...

CURRENT FORECAST details and other information can be found on the tabs at the top of the page.