Monday, July 21, 2014

poised for changes... (pm.21.jul.14)>

Monday's stats:

Low temp: 64.8F (18.2C)
High temp: 73.6F (23.1C)
Rainfall: 0.29" (7mm) -- updated @ 8:00pm 

It's mostly cloudy with some patches of fog in the area at the moment, along with some random sprinkles left over from our late afternoon rain showers.  Today, as expected, has featured a lot of variability between clouds, sun and patchy fog -- with most of the shower activity holding off until about 4:00pm.  Even then, we've (so far) had another day of relatively light amounts of rainfall.

We're back into a very interesting position... poised on the brink of a fresh surge of stronger and more active monsoon conditions which should be moving in sometime during the coming 24 to 36 hours or so.  There's still an irritating lack of consistency and agreement between the various sets of computer model data, but the basic atmospheric moisture parameters are already showing increases in progress -- and that means it is just a matter of time before that manifests in heavier rain development here along the mountain slopes of northern India.  At this point, it seems the ball is already rolling.

The most widespread and persistently saturated conditions of this season should set in as we head toward mid-week, and those conditions may not relent for several days to come -- at least.  That means we can be braced for a lot of fog and periods of very heavy rainfall by Wednesday or Thursday, which is actually pretty much what SHOULD be happening during the latter third of July.

The CURRENT FORECAST and other more specific info can be found on tabs above.