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Check archived posts (right column) and stats (above) for general information.

Saturday, March 23, 2013

waiting for rain... (pm.23.mar.13)>

*Update @ 8:27pm... There is explosive development of thundershowers just to our southwest over east-central Pakistan and northwestern Punjab happening now.  Although this new activity is moving in our direction, humidity here at 6500ft is just 36%, so we'll need to see a major moistening of the atmosphere very quickly to get significant rainfall overnight.  Those trusty computer models say "yes", it's going to happen, so we have an interesting night ahead...

*Update @ 7:01pm... Just in the past half hour since I've finished up posting the updated forecast, clouds have rapidly developed/moved in from the southwest.  It looks from satellite pics that there is a lot of thundershower development going on west and south of us as this system continues to push into our area.  My internet connection(s) have been absolutely crappy this evening, but I'll try to post updates if I can.

Saturday's stats:

Early morning low temp: 56.3F (13.5C)
Afternoon high temp: 68.5F (20.3C)
Rainfall: none

We're in the midst of a very nice evening... with partly cloudy skies, comfortable temps, and humidity around 40%.  There seems to be very little evidence of an approaching storm system at the moment, does there?

Cloudiness this morning dissipated before the noon hour, leaving us with a good amount of sun during the afternoon and now into the evening.  This doesn't mean our rain chances have disappeared though; an upper-level storm system continues to circulate along the Afghanistan/Pakistan border, and will move slowly east-northeastward during the coming 24-36 hours.  There are scattered thundershowers over Pakistan into northern Rajasthan and extreme southern Punjab at the moment, moving toward the northeast.  All of the computer models are in agreement that rain chances will dramatically increase in our immediate area overnight into Sunday morning, with amounts around 3cm (1.2") still looking quite likely.

By Monday morning rain chances should diminish, but our general weather pattern is going to remain rather unsettled and unstable through much of next week -- keeping us from being able to enjoy totally sunny and dry conditions.  Normal high temps for the last week of March are in the low 70s (F) or 22-23(C), but we should remain cooler than that for the next several days at least.

Check the CURRENT FORECAST tab (above) for the latest updated forecast.