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Wednesday, March 27, 2013

increasingly disturbed... (pm.27.mar.13)>

*Update @ 8:40pm... My current temp is 59.9F (15.5C), which is the warmest I've recorded at this time of the evening so far this season.  This warmer air is surging northward in advance of our approaching upper-level disturbance.

Wednesday's stats:

Early morning low temp: 54.0F (12.2C)
Afternoon high temp: 66.6F (19.2C)
Rainfall: trace

Skies are partly cloudy this evening after a day of battle between clouds and sun.  The mid- and high cloudiness dominated, but we did get some partially sunny periods that made for a relatively pleasant Holi.  I even personally witnessed a few brief sprinkles right around the noon hour, which most likely went unnoticed by most.  Temperatures were a bit cooler than expected, and continue to run a few degrees below normal for late March.

All these clouds today were the by-product of a new upper-level disturbance which is now located over southwestern Pakistan -- generated by a combination of increasing moisture and some slight warming in the higher levels of the atmosphere.  This disturbance will be moving slowly east-northeastward between now and Saturday, increasing our chances of some scattered showers and thundershowers.  Right now it looks like we won't get any long-lasting, heavy rainfall, but be aware of the potential for a few periods of wet weather during the remainder of this week.  Temperatures will be pleasant if we can muster any sunshine tomorrow (Thu), but then we should have a turn to cooler temps again if/when the showers appear.

Rain chances are expected to diminish starting on Saturday, but mountain instability on Easter Sunday into Monday will keep the risk of a random shower in the forecast, especially higher up.  Still looking like temps will be on the cool side of normal/average as April arrives...

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