Sunday, March 24, 2013

march or monsoon?... (pm.24.mar.13)>

*Update @ 8:13pm... There are two areas of thundershowers now -- one well off to our east, and the other to our northwest.  Both of these should stay away from us, so I'm fairly confident that we're finally out of the clutches of this recent storm system.

-----------------------------------------------------------
Sunday's stats:

Low temp: 45.1F (7.3C)
High temp: 55.6F (13.1C)
24-hr rainfall: 2.47" (6.3cm)

My rain tally doubled between the report early this morning and late this afternoon.  That huge total (above) is about two-thirds of the normal amount we would expect to receive during the entire month of March, and about twice as much as most of the computer models were forecasting for this storm system.  Suffice it to say, it's been extremely wet since about 10:30pm last night!  Consequently, temperatures have been held down as well -- on the order of about 15F/8C cooler than they should be this time of year.

I haven't been mentioning snow, but there were a few inches of accumulation during the past 24 hours a hundred meters or so below Triund.

There has finally been some clearing as of about 5pm, but there are still some lingering clouds around, as well as the potential for more thundershower development during the next few hours.  The center of our upper-level storm system is weakening rapidly, but continues to spin around in the vicinity of the Pak/Kashmir border, just west of Srinagar.  This circulation is still drawing moisture northward across Himachal Pradesh and keeping the atmosphere rather unstable in the near term.

Although there could be a random shower or thundershower on Monday, overall conditions will be much improved, with much more sunshine along with moderating temperatures.  The nicest weather of the week should occur on Tuesday into Wednesday -- coinciding with Holi -- but then the risk of some scattered showers and thunderstorms will increase again late Thursday into Friday.  Temps should be on the rise during the next several days, but this pattern isn't really conducive for getting us up to where we should be for the very tail-end of March.

The CURRENT FORECAST is always available on the tab at the top of the page.