Friday, March 29, 2013

potentially wet... (am.29.mar.13)>

*Update @ 3:51pm...  There has been very little redevelopment of showers or thundershowers across northern India so far today, except for some scattered activity in the higher mountain areas.  It's turned out to be a very pleasant day, thus far.  Current temp: 66.2F (19.0C).

*Update @ 10:15am...  Looking pretty good out there at the moment.  The clouds have broken up a bit, giving us more sunshine already this morning than we saw all day yesterday.  The risk of some shower/thundershower development remains, though.  My current temp is 59.9F (15.5C).

It is mostly cloudy at sunrise on this Good Friday morning.  I haven't recorded any additional rainfall overnight, leaving us with 0.13" (3mm) since late yesterday morning.  The low temp since midnight here on Tushita Road below the Mountaineering Center has been 50.5F (10.3C).

The upper-level disturbance dominating our recent weather situation is along the Punjab border with Pakistan, and is expected to continue moving slowly northeastward and be centered almost directly over us by this evening.  This system is a real weakling compared to last weekend's storm.  There have only been scattered light rain showers thus far, with very little thunder in its vicinity.  However, it may have a few tricks yet to dish out during the next 12-18 hours or so -- so continue to be prepared for the development of a few showers and/or thundershowers.

The atmosphere will remain a bit unsettled on Saturday and perhaps into Easter Sunday, keeping a risk of a thundershower in the forecast, though I think we'll be seeing an increasing amount of sunshine.  And although there are no significant storm systems thereafter, we're still not getting into a totally sunny, dry and uneventful kind of pattern -- at least through the middle of next week.

It's been said over and over again that our temperatures are running well below the average for the March-to-April changeover, but we could see some healthy moderation in the next few days.

The CURRENT FORECAST tab above has the details.