the latest...

**Our six-day rainfall total, since last Saturday, is 10.55" (26.8cm). That's one heck of a big amount of rain for so early in our evolving monsoon season...

Saturday, September 19, 2015

wet period ahead... (pm.19.sep.15)>

Saturday's stats:

Low temp: 65.3F (18.5C)
High temp: 73.0F (22.8C)
Rainfall: trace

Our Saturday evening is a pleasant one, with a broken layer of mid- and high clouds across the area just after sunset, and humidity running close to 60%.  We weren't able to enjoy nearly as much sunshine today as we did the last few days, as clouds were already with us at sunrise, and didn't allow the sun to ever take over for more than a few minutes at a time.  Rainfall was very light, and confined to just a few periods of sprinkles and very light showers between 1:00 and 2:30pm.

Some interesting meteorological elements will be converging on northwest India during the next 24-48 hours -- a sign of the clash between lingering swaths of monsoon moisture and the approach of the autumn season.  A circulation center containing deep tropical moisture lurks just to our south this evening, and will be drawn northward during the next couple of days as a rather strong upper-level disturbance slides in from central Asia.  Computer models have been fairly consistent in showing increasing rain and thunderstorm development all across northwest India -- the most significant of which should occur between Monday and early Wednesday.  There will probably be some scattered thundershowers in the area later tonight and Sunday in prelude to the maturity of this evolving weather system.

By noon on Wednesday we should start to lose the best dynamic ingredients to sustain the rain/thunder action, with a gradual drying trend and return to a more stable situation expected for the remainder of the week.  Our annual McLeod Ganj Mela (carnival/fair) is in the preparation stages right now, and hopefully the first few days won't be a total rainout.  

THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK and MONSOON 2015: RAINFALL TALLY pages can be accessed through tabs above.