Sunday, September 6, 2015

some positive moves... (pm.06.sep.15)>

Sunday's stats:

Low temp: 59.7F (15.4C)
High temp: 73.2F (22.9C)
Rainfall: trace

Apart from a few lingering patches of cloudiness, we have mostly clear skies as the sun sets this Sunday evening.  Today was probably the new 'finest of the season' -- with sunshine dominating all the way into the early afternoon hours, and then posing a serious challenge to attempts at cloud formation throughout the rest of the day.  There were a few rumbles of thunder and some brief, fleeting sprinkles of rain between about 2:00 and 3:00pm, but that was the extent of it.

It seems that there are always unwelcome surprises during the month of September, in the midst of the atmosphere changing its character and gradually morphing into the autumn season -- but I have to say -- all of the data I'm seeing the last couple of days is consistently pointing at a signficant retreat of a large percentage of the tropical moisture that has remained here along the mountain slopes of north India.  We will have to patiently wait and watch how all of this plays itself out during the coming couple of weeks (or more), but right now it seems there is a good chance that we are right on the cusp of a turn to drier weather conditions.

BUT -- even when the models are painting heavenly scenarios, the ground-truth reality can be something totally different here in our famously fickle location along the Dhauladhar range.  There could still be significant cloud build-ups on a daily basis, along with a risk of an isolated shower/thundershower.  Looking on the bright side, it could be that we end up with the earliest official monsoon withdrawal we've seen in the past six years.  Stay tuned.

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