the latest...

**Our six-day rainfall total, since last Saturday, is 10.55" (26.8cm). That's one heck of a big amount of rain for so early in our evolving monsoon season...

Saturday, September 26, 2015

lingering turmoil... (pm.26.sep.15)>

Saturday's stats:

Low temp: 59.2F (15.1C)
High temp: 67.8F (19.9C)
Rainfall: trace

The view is quite surreal out there just after sunset this evening.  The Dhauladhars are visible with some fresh traces of frozen precipitation, there's a nearly full moon in the eastern sky near a large towering cumulus cloud which is catching the yellow/orange glow of the setting sun, while thunder rumbles and lightning flashes just to our west-southwest.  There are also a few light sprinkles of rain -- but as has been the case all day long, the rain here in McLeod has not been enough to register a measurement.  We've again had great variability between clouds, fog and sun throughout the day.

Weak ripples of energy in the upper atmosphere continue to move across the western Himalayas, and as they interact with lingering tropical moisture in the lower layers, we're continuing to see a lot of cloud development, along with some isolated to scattered shower and thundershower activity between northern Pakistan and Uttarakhand.  The pattern will be shifting during the next 48 hours, however, as a ridge of high pressure attempts to build across northwest India.  All of the data points to a significant drying-out trend kicking in on Monday, with very quiet weather conditions expected to take hold for the majority of the week ahead.  As I've said about a million times... just because the overall pattern looks good doesn't mean that we will be able to take part in that here along the front slopes of the Dhauladhars.  We will have to keep evaluating and re-evaluating things on a daily basis.

If this clearing and drying trend really takes hold, then we'll be dealing with warming temperatures by Tuesday and Wednesday as well.  Stay tuned... and follow THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK and other weather information on tabs above.