Friday, September 18, 2015

still no withdrawal... (pm.18.sep.15)>

Friday's stats:

Low temp: 64.0F (17.8C)
High temp: 76.1F (24.5C)
Rainfall: none

It's a partly cloudy and pleasant evening... at the end of another very nice mid-September day.  For the second day in a row we've had no rain at all, and though sunshine wasn't quite as dominant as it was yesterday, there was still a good amount of it to go around.  My high temperature in the upper part of town was the warmest I've recorded since last Saturday.

Today marks the average date of the official withdrawal of monsoon conditions in our area -- according to historical data provided by the India Met Department.  However, for the sixth straight year, we do not have that official declaration by this date.  If you'll refer to THE TRANSITION TO AUTUMN tab at the top of the page, you'll see a discussion of the challenges we face during the month of September, as drier air gradually chips away at lingering monsoon moisture and all of the back-and-forth business we have to deal with.

And though we've had two dry days, I'm sorry to report that the overall weather situation should be going downhill once again by the time the weekend comes to an end.  A rather potent upper-level disturbance sliding in from the northwest will draw a mass of moisture-rich tropical air northward ahead of it, which is going to set the stage for a widespread area of moderate to heavy rainfall across northwest India.  Currently, it looks like the best window for heavy rains will be between Sunday afternoon and Wednesday morning -- but stay tuned as we watch how it all evolves.  Our next drying trend will kick in by late Wednesday into Thursday.

Check tabs above for THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK, along with other local weather info.