Wednesday, September 9, 2015

two rainless days... (pm.09.sep.15)>

Wednesday's stats:

Low temp: 62.1F (16.7C)
High temp: 74.8F (23.8C)
Rainfall: none

Today is definitely the new winner of the "finest of the season" award -- with full sunshine this morning yielding to partly cloudy skies which only briefly turned mostly cloudy for an hour or two during the middle of the afternoon.  For the second day in a row, there was not a drop of rain in the immediate McLeod vicinity.  Believe it or not, the last time we had two totally dry days back-to-back was on 27-28 June!!  And there has only been 0.17" (4mm) of rain in the past four days.

It is a pleasant (and somewhat shocking) surprise to see that the models have had a very good handle on the decreasing moisture content of the air mass here across Himalayan north India during the past few days.  Today I recorded humidity readings averaging around 67-70% throughout the day, which is a sign that we are dropping into a range that does not adequately sustain monsoon conditions.  As most of us know very well, there can be significant cloud/fog development and random thundershowers here along the front slopes of the Dhauladhars -- even if the models/data don't show anything happening.  That's why it's been nice the last couple of days to see that we are getting some tangible evidence of a turn to better weather.

We need to keep in mind the risk of a random/rogue thundershower during the afternoon or early evening hours one of these days, otherwise, it looks like generally quiet and calm conditions ahead -- as we progress through the next ten days or so.

You can get a look at monsoon withdrawal information on THE TRANSITION TO AUTUMN (tab above), as well as specifics about the forecast on THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK.