the latest...

**Our six-day rainfall total, since last Saturday, is 10.55" (26.8cm). That's one heck of a big amount of rain for so early in our evolving monsoon season...

Tuesday, September 15, 2015

concerns of the season... (pm.15.sep.15)>

Tuesday's stats:

Low temp: 62.2F (16.8C)
High temp: 71.6F (22.0C)
Rainfall: trace

It's obviously getting dark earlier, as we move toward the autumn equinox in about a week's time -- and this evening we have only a few clouds lingering just after sunset.  After three days in a row of measurable rainfall, we had just a trace of precipitation today which came in the form of a few brief periods of sprinkles and light showers during the mid-afternoon -- mainly between 3:00 and 4:00pm.  There was some thunder to accompany those rain drops, but at least here in the immediate McLeod area, rainfall today was much less significant than it has been the last couple of days.  We also had more sunshine -- both this morning and again late this afternoon and evening.

This time last week all signs were pointing toward an early monsoon withdrawal across much of Himachal Pradesh, but things have changed.  It's now been exactly one week since the last official monsoon withdrawal declaration was made (for points west-southwest of us), and the India Met Department seems to be concerned that some potential resurgences of deeper tropical moisture creeping in from the southeast need to be watched carefully.  It does indeed look like there are some issues to watch during this latter half of the month which could allow at least a couple of waves of late-season monsoon moisture to revisit the front slopes of the north Indian Himalayas.  The first one could arrive over the weekend, with another one possible during the middle of next week.

All of this means that we are still not out of the woods and in the clear.  We can enjoy these nice periods of sunshine while they last, but should stay prepared for occasional onslaughts of moderate to heavy rain showers to occur mainly during the PM hours.

THE TRANSITION TO AUTUMN, MONSOON 2015: RAINFALL TALLY and THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK are just a few tabs at the top of the page you might be interested in checking for more information.