Saturday, May 31, 2014

potential volatility... (am.31.may.14)>

There are some mid-level clouds scattered around the area, otherwise we have mostly clear skies at sunrise this morning.  I've recorded a balmy overnight low temp of 66.9F (19.4C) -- one of the mildest of the season -- and there has been no rainfall since early yesterday afternoon.  This morning's humidity reading is only 32%.

Things are looking quiet here at the start of the day, but that may not be a good indication of what we could be dealing with as the weekend continues to unfold.  We're still on the track of a series of weak upper-level disturbances which will be moving across northern India during the coming 36 to 48 hours or so.  There are indications of a surge of moisture being pulled northward at the same time, and with a very tight temperature gradient (hot to the south, much cooler to our north) in place, we could see some shower and thunderstorm development from northern Pakistan through southwestern Jammu & Kashmir and into much of Himachal at any time.  Hopefully we'll be able to get some hours of nice sunshine over the weekend as well -- but be prepared for sudden twists in the plot!

Our atmosphere should stabilize gradually on Monday into Tuesday, with rain chances being reduced to just isolated PM thundershower potential -- and even that could be erased toward the middle of next week.  Extended range data is pointing to generally dry conditions and seasonably warm temperatures as we progress through the first week to ten days of June...

CURRENT FORECAST info is available on the tab above.