Thursday, March 20, 2014

springtime variables... (pm.20.mar.14)>

Thursday's stats:

Low temp: 48.6F (9.2C)
High temp: 59.3F (15.2C)
Rainfall: none

We've got a mix of clouds and sunshine this evening just before sunset.  It's been that kind of day, with periods of both clouds and sun alternating back and forth since early this morning.  There could have been some light showers somewhere in the area, but I didn't personally witness any myself, and the rain gauge is dry.  Temperatures remain several degrees below where they should be on the first day of spring.

Yes, it is the vernal equinox, the first day of spring in the northern hemisphere, and the day when there are equal amounts of daylight and darkness as the direct rays of the sun shine on the equator.  By the end of March we'd like to see our temperatures getting closer to 70F (21C), but it doesn't look like that's going to happen for us anytime in the near future.  Although it's much milder than it was just ten days ago, we still can't seem to break through into anything resembling consistently warm temps.

Our overall weather pattern remains rather unsettled as well.  As I scroll through the charts for the next week to 10 days (and beyond), it's amazing to see that there is still no strong indication of a shift to a more stable type of pattern.  A general west-southwesterly flow in the upper atmosphere will transport several disturbances and batches of moisture across northern India between now and the end of next week, and that's going to keep periods of clouds and the risk of scattered showers and thundershowers in the forecast.  In the near term, the best chance of rain appears to be between Sunday night and Tuesday morning (sound familiar?) -- but the computer models have been very inconsistent, so we'll keep watching...

Get CURRENT FORECAST info can be found on the tab above.