Friday, March 7, 2014

enjoying the moment... (pm.07.mar.14)>

Friday's stats:

Low temp: 44.6F (7.0C)
High temp: 56.3F (13.5C)
Precipitation: none

There are some large patches of mainly high clouds across the area after sunset this evening, but we managed to escape shower/thundershower development this afternoon.  Unlimited sunshine this morning did give way to an increase in clouds by early afternoon, but it never became totally overcast.  Today's high temp at my location in the upper part of town was one of the mildest of 2014 so far -- though still about 7-8F (3-4C) cooler than normal for the season.

Warming in the upper atmosphere caught up with warming in the lower levels to cancel out most of the instability this afternoon, and that was nice to see.  There will continue to be a moderation in temperatures from the surface into the upper levels of the atmosphere tomorrow (Sat), but we'll still have to keep an eye on that delicate balance of temps/humidity in the layers just above us, and be on guard for an isolated PM shower -- just in case.  As long as we don't get too much cloud development, tomorrow's high temperature will probably be the mildest since mid-December.

These faint glimmers of spring look like they'll be dashed to the rocks very soon, however, as a very impressive storm system begins to assemble itself as the new week unfolds.  Right now there is a chunk of upper-level energy passing northeast of the Caspian Sea, which will become a well-defined low pressure circulation over northern Afghanistan by late Sunday.  As the center of this system moves into central Pakistan and eventually northwest India between Monday and Wednesday, it's going to encounter an increasingly moist and unstable air mass.  Some of the computer models are projecting 2-3 inches (5-7cm) of rain between Sunday afternoon and mid-day Wednesday in our area, which is something we actually don't need at all after our very wet past four weeks or so.

CURRENT FORECAST info can be found on the tab above.