Friday, March 14, 2014

march milestones... (am.14.mar.14)>

The sky is clear at sunrise this morning, and I'm recording the mildest overnight low temperature of the year -- 50.2F (10.1C).  That makes for a very pleasant start to what should end up being the finest day weather-wise of 2014 thus far.  There has been no rainfall overnight, and the humidity reading is 34%.

A high pressure ridge is still in control across northwest India, allowing steady warming to continue occurring from the surface into the middle and upper atmosphere.  It's a classic calm and stable situation, which we've seen very little of in the past several weeks.  There is a broad band of high clouds well off to our west across Afghanistan and northern Pakistan, but right now it looks like it won't make it this far today.  If that's indeed the case, we'll be seeing lots of sunshine, with temperatures rising higher than we've experienced since the latter part of November.

Although this weather pattern won't be totally breaking down, there's going to be some upper-level energy rippling through here tomorrow into Sunday -- introducing a chance of some scattered thundershower development over the mountains.  That's going to have to be carefully watched, but I think the shower risk will remain small for us here on this side of the Dhauladhars.  Depending on the sun vs cloud ratio, we could see even warmer temps over the weekend.

There's a stronger upper-level disturbance on the way for Monday into Tuesday, which could bring us a good chance of a few periods of rain and thundershowers.  It will also probably cool us down several degrees in the process.  

CURRENT FORECAST details can be found on the tab at the top of the page.