*Update @ 9:25am... It's been nice to see the sun breaking through during the past hour or so. We'll still have to be on guard for the development of more showers at times, but it could turn out that this system has pretty much blown itself out already. Current temp: 46.8F (8.2C).
*Update @ 7:59am... Sporadic rain showers have started up again, and I've had a few snowflakes mixed in with the rain in the past few minutes. Temp has dipped again -- now 41.2F (5.1C)
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It's been quite a night... with a few periods of rain and thunder, along with some very gusty winds at times. Right now it's cloudy and a bit breezy, but there is no rain falling. I've recorded a surprisingly cold overnight low temperature of 36.0F (2.2C) which occurred briefly around 1:30am -- but the temp has rebounded to 43.2F (6.2C) just before sunrise. The big shock of the morning is seeing the 1.10" (2.8cm) in the rain gauge, which is definitely more than I was expecting by this time. It looks like the snow line dropped fairly low, so I'll look forward to hearing from people in Dharamkot, Upper Bhagsu, Naddi, and points above.
A rather compact upper-level circulation is located close to the Pak/Kashmir border to the southwest of Srinagar early this morning, and is expected to slowly wobble its way across southern J&K and Himachal today into this evening. There was apparently very good coordination between a stream of moisture being drawn northward and upper-level dynamic energy easing in from the west -- which was able to set off our significant round of precipitation and even some impressive thunder and lightning since just after midnight. It could be that the majority of our rain/snow is already over... but there is one computer model that is showing some redevelopment right on top of us that will keep us under the gun today into this evening for more occasional rain.
The risk of lingering showers is looking smaller on Sunday, with a fairly rapid warming trend expected for the first few days of the week. Still, we're not going to see a totally clear and quiet and uneventful pattern taking shape, so there will continue to be a lot of back-and-forth between clouds and sun. Looking toward the end of the week, our wet and cold February will most likely end on that same note...
Check the CURRENT FORECAST details on the tab above.
*Update @ 7:59am... Sporadic rain showers have started up again, and I've had a few snowflakes mixed in with the rain in the past few minutes. Temp has dipped again -- now 41.2F (5.1C)
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It's been quite a night... with a few periods of rain and thunder, along with some very gusty winds at times. Right now it's cloudy and a bit breezy, but there is no rain falling. I've recorded a surprisingly cold overnight low temperature of 36.0F (2.2C) which occurred briefly around 1:30am -- but the temp has rebounded to 43.2F (6.2C) just before sunrise. The big shock of the morning is seeing the 1.10" (2.8cm) in the rain gauge, which is definitely more than I was expecting by this time. It looks like the snow line dropped fairly low, so I'll look forward to hearing from people in Dharamkot, Upper Bhagsu, Naddi, and points above.
A rather compact upper-level circulation is located close to the Pak/Kashmir border to the southwest of Srinagar early this morning, and is expected to slowly wobble its way across southern J&K and Himachal today into this evening. There was apparently very good coordination between a stream of moisture being drawn northward and upper-level dynamic energy easing in from the west -- which was able to set off our significant round of precipitation and even some impressive thunder and lightning since just after midnight. It could be that the majority of our rain/snow is already over... but there is one computer model that is showing some redevelopment right on top of us that will keep us under the gun today into this evening for more occasional rain.
The risk of lingering showers is looking smaller on Sunday, with a fairly rapid warming trend expected for the first few days of the week. Still, we're not going to see a totally clear and quiet and uneventful pattern taking shape, so there will continue to be a lot of back-and-forth between clouds and sun. Looking toward the end of the week, our wet and cold February will most likely end on that same note...
Check the CURRENT FORECAST details on the tab above.
