Saturday, February 8, 2014

cold, still unstable... (am.08.feb.14)>

There are a couple of random cumulus clouds floating around out there early this morning, otherwise we have mostly clear skies just prior to sunrise.  The low temp at my location dipped to 39.2F (4.0C), and it's only barely above that now.  The rain showers, thunder and gusty winds died down fairly quickly after 10pm last night, but not before delivering another 0.22" (6mm) of rain -- bringing the total since Thursday evening to 2.92" (7.4cm).  A fantastic amount of much-needed winter moisture, which turned out to be more than expected from this system.

The snow line never ventured very far downhill, which has left us snowless in McLeod Ganj once again.  In fact, other than a couple of inches of slushy snow in the far upper parts of town back on the 22nd of December and then some light/brief accumulations of slushy sleet and snow on the evening of New Year's Eve -- we've totally escaped a genuine snowfall so far this year.  And there's not much of a window of opportunity left for us, as we get into the latter half of the month in just a week from now.

For now, we're dealing with a very cold air mass in the upper-levels of the atmosphere, along with several weak disturbances and circulations up at that level.  Sunshine this morning will warm up the lower layers enough to trigger some cloud development, most likely, with some scattered rain and/or snow showers also not out of the question somewhere around the area.  By tomorrow, the risk of a shower should diminish further, but we're still going to be dealing with enough instability to get some cloud development going -- especially during the PM hours.

The overall pattern will remain COLD for this time of year through most of the coming week, though it appears we'll be free of any significant precipitation until perhaps next weekend.

Check the CURRENT FORECAST specs on the tab above.